Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Eller 50.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 77.8%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 78.7%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 76.6%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Luostarinen
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Luostarinen
Eller
Last 10: Luostarinen 3-7 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Luostarinen
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Luostarinen
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
3
Luostarinen
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,721)
51.0% (10,168)
-6.3%
Power Play
40.4% (52)
52.8% (621)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (201)
46.7% (1,740)
-8.9%
On power play, Eller has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,304).
Luostarinen shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Eller
Home
44.8% (994)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
43.1% (980)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Luostarinen
Eller
P1
43.4%
51.2%
P2
45.5%
50.0%
P3
42.8%
50.2%
OT
37.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
43.9%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2024 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 09:07 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:24 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |