Eetu Luostarinen vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 61.9%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 50.6%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
49.7% (1,038)
-4.0%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
63.7% (157)
-18.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
34.4% (32)
-5.8%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Luostarinen is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Luostarinen shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
Home
44.4% (36)
53.1% (618)
Away
43.3% (90)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Luostarinen
MacKinnon
P1
38.9%
49.3%
P2
44.7%
53.0%
P3
45.1%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | 1 | 08:44 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |