Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Hartman 45.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hartman 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 54.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Luostarinen
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Luostarinen
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Luostarinen
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
45.1% (874)
+0.6%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
47.4% (95)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
37.5% (16)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Luostarinen is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hartman
Home
44.4% (36)
45.0% (515)
Away
43.3% (90)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hartman
P1
38.9%
47.3%
P2
44.7%
40.1%
P3
45.1%
48.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |