Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Carrick 54.2% (-11.3%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 74.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Luostarinen
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
55.5% (470)
-9.8%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
66.7% (3)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
50.0% (58)
-21.4%
On power play, Carrick has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Luostarinen is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Luostarinen shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Carrick
Home
44.4% (36)
58.6% (261)
Away
43.3% (90)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Luostarinen
Carrick
P1
38.9%
55.9%
P2
44.7%
53.5%
P3
45.1%
55.6%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%