Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.1%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 66.9%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 56.4%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Luostarinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Luostarinen
Gagner
Last 7: Luostarinen 3-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Luostarinen
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
1
Luostarinen
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (1,721)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.7%
Power Play
40.4% (52)
51.5% (928)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (201)
35.0% (226)
+2.8%
On power play, Gagner has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Luostarinen is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (670).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gagner
Home
44.8% (994)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.1% (980)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gagner
P1
43.4%
44.6%
P2
45.5%
46.1%
P3
42.8%
47.3%
OT
37.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
42.0%▼
48.5%
43.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |