Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Luostarinen wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Gagner 46.0% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.5%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 65.0%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 54.7%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Luostarinen
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Luostarinen
Gagner
Last 7: Luostarinen 3-4 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
1
3
Luostarinen
Gagner
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
1
Luostarinen
Gagner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
45.4% (4,699)
-0.8%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
51.5% (928)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
35.0% (226)
+2.9%
On power play, Gagner has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Luostarinen is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (690).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gagner is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,184).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gagner
Home
44.8% (1,015)
48.7% (3,025)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
43.0% (2,843)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gagner
P1
43.0%
44.6%
P2
45.4%
46.1%
P3
43.2%
47.3%
OT
37.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2021 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |