Eetu Luostarinen vs Tage Thompson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.7% vs 44.6%). Luostarinen wins 41.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Thompson 45.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 58.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Luostarinen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Luostarinen
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
1
0
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Luostarinen
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
44.6% (661)
+1.1%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
48.4% (95)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
33.3% (33)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Luostarinen is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (39).
Luostarinen shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Thompson
Home
44.4% (36)
45.7% (411)
Away
43.3% (90)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Luostarinen
Thompson
P1
38.9%
47.7%
P2
44.7%
45.7%
P3
45.1%
40.5%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:03 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |