Eetu Luostarinen vs Tommy Novak
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Novak on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Novak 43.0% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 76.6%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 57.2%
Neutral zone
Novak 63.2%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Luostarinen
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Luostarinen
Novak
Last 5: Luostarinen 1-4 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Novak
0
2
Luostarinen
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Novak
1
2
Luostarinen
Novak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
41.8% (1,568)
+2.8%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
51.5% (134)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
50.0% (2)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Luostarinen shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Novak
Home
44.8% (1,015)
45.1% (831)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Luostarinen
Novak
P1
43.0%
43.7%
P2
45.4%
42.8%
P3
43.2%
41.1%
OT
37.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 2, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:23 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |