Scouting Report
Eetu Luostarinen holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Jost 40.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 62.6%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 55.2%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 56.6%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Luostarinen
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Luostarinen
Jost
Last 9: Luostarinen 5-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
0
Luostarinen
Jost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
2
3
Luostarinen
Jost
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
41.0% (2,016)
+3.6%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
34.2% (73)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
35.2% (256)
+2.7%
On power play, Luostarinen has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Luostarinen shoots left. Jost is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,469).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Jost
Home
44.8% (1,015)
41.9% (1,240)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
38.1% (1,105)
By Period
Luostarinen
Jost
P1
43.0%
38.5%
P2
45.4%
41.1%
P3
43.2%
40.9%
OT
37.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 11:59 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |