Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Gourde 46.0% (-1.8%)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 67.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 68.2%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.0%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Luostarinen
Gourde
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
47.2% (687)
-1.5%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
45.0% (20)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
33.0% (88)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Luostarinen shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Gourde
Home
44.4% (36)
44.4% (356)
Away
43.3% (90)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Luostarinen
Gourde
P1
38.9%
42.2%
P2
44.7%
50.0%
P3
45.1%
44.5%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%