Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Cozens wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cozens 48.5% vs Lindholm 53.9% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 20-11 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Cozens 79.9%
Defensive zone
Cozens 88.4%
Neutral zone
Cozens 81.3%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 84.0%
84.0%
16.0%
Cozens
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
20
(31 meetings)
11
20
Cozens
Lindholm
Last 10: Cozens 2-8 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Cozens
Lindholm
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
9
Cozens
Lindholm
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
8
Cozens
Lindholm
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cozens
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (4,103)
53.8% (8,549)
-4.8%
Power Play
50.3% (717)
59.4% (1,745)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (439)
48.3% (1,619)
-7.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Cozens is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Cozens shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Home / Away
Cozens
Lindholm
Home
48.3% (2,685)
54.2% (5,980)
Away
48.7% (2,574)
53.6% (5,933)
By Period
Cozens
Lindholm
P1
49.1%
54.2%
P2
47.8%
54.5%
P3
48.9%
53.0%
OT
34.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
48.5%
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 15:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:34 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 15:59 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:40 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 19:06 | Offensive | Dylan Cozens |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:49 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 01:57 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 00:56 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |