Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Schwartz 54.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 54.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 68.2%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 53.2%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Lindholm
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
66.7% (27)
-13.2%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
58.3% (12)
+2.8%
On even strength, Schwartz has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Schwartz is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Schwartz
Home
55.5% (431)
75.0% (20)
Away
52.7% (298)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Lindholm
Schwartz
P1
52.3%
61.1%
P2
54.8%
77.8%
P3
56.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
58.0%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Schwartz
62.0%▲
55.5%
64.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |