Scouting Report
Jaden Schwartz holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Schwartz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Schwartz 52.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schwartz 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 74.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.0%
Result
Jaden Schwartz favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Lindholm
Schwartz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Schwartz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Schwartz
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
60.5% (38)
-5.7%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
53.3% (15)
+9.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schwartz shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Schwartz is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Schwartz
Home
56.6% (578)
71.4% (21)
Away
54.9% (455)
50.0% (32)
By Period
Lindholm
Schwartz
P1
55.2%
60.9%
P2
56.3%
69.2%
P3
56.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
76.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Schwartz
58.0%▲
53.5%
58.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 11:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jaden Schwartz |