Elias Lindholm vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Pageau 58.9% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 68.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 73.0%
Neutral zone
Pageau 64.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Lindholm
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Pageau
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Pageau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Pageau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
59.3% (715)
-4.5%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
68.3% (41)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
59.7% (221)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Pageau is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (257).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pageau
Home
56.6% (578)
58.1% (418)
Away
54.9% (455)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Lindholm
Pageau
P1
55.2%
55.3%
P2
56.3%
61.5%
P3
56.3%
61.6%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
63.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Pageau
58.0%▬
59.0%
59.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:05 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |