Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Toews 60.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 61.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 59.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Lindholm
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Lindholm
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Lindholm
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
62.6% (728)
-7.8%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
59.4% (143)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
46.9% (32)
+5.3%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Toews
Home
56.6% (578)
61.1% (455)
Away
54.9% (455)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Lindholm
Toews
P1
55.2%
59.7%
P2
56.3%
66.7%
P3
56.3%
58.4%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |