Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Staal 57.6% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 69.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 58.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Lindholm
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lindholm
Staal
Last 8: Lindholm 4-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Lindholm
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
58.9% (1,096)
-1.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
68.4% (57)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
51.8% (222)
-2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Staal
Home
55.2% (667)
57.0% (646)
Away
57.5% (669)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Lindholm
Staal
P1
54.7%
55.9%
P2
55.5%
55.4%
P3
58.5%
62.0%
OT
64.7%
70.4%
Final 5 min
53.4%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 07:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |