Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Dunne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Dunne 46.9% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 94.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 85.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 87.0%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Lindholm
Dunne
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lindholm
Dunne
Last 6: Lindholm 5-1 Dunne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Dunne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Dunne
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Dunne
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
47.1% (174)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
37.5% (8)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
0.0% (6)
+48.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dunne shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Dunne is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Dunne
Home
54.2% (5,980)
48.3% (60)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
43.8% (128)
By Period
Lindholm
Dunne
P1
54.2%
42.6%
P2
54.5%
51.7%
P3
53.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Dunne
62.0%▲
45.2%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Josh Dunne |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |