Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 29 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Eller 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 35-27 in 62 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 88.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 64.0%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 72.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Lindholm
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
27
(62 meetings)
35
27
Lindholm
Eller
Last 10: Lindholm 6-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
22
7
Lindholm
Eller
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
8
13
Lindholm
Eller
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
7
Lindholm
Eller
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
51.1% (10,321)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
52.8% (621)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
46.6% (1,759)
+1.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Eller
Home
54.2% (5,980)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Lindholm
Eller
P1
54.2%
51.2%
P2
54.5%
50.1%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
OT
53.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:42 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 11:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:17 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 17:56 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |