Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 69.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 95.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 84.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 95.8%
95.8%
4.2%
Lindholm
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lindholm
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
46.5% (919)
+8.3%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
48.7% (187)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
50.0% (54)
+2.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Scheifele is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Scheifele
Home
56.6% (578)
46.6% (605)
Away
54.9% (455)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Lindholm
Scheifele
P1
55.2%
52.3%
P2
56.3%
45.3%
P3
56.3%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |