Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs McTavish 49.1% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 64.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 50.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Lindholm
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lindholm
McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Lindholm
McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
McTavish
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
47.6% (618)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
58.3% (103)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
33.3% (6)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Lindholm
McTavish
Home
56.6% (578)
52.2% (391)
Away
54.9% (455)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Lindholm
McTavish
P1
55.2%
50.2%
P2
56.3%
47.7%
P3
56.3%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 04:58 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |