Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Duchene 51.8% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 63.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 78.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 69.6%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lindholm
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
51.1% (366)
+3.7%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
61.5% (65)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
16.7% (6)
+35.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Duchene is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Duchene
Home
56.6% (578)
51.7% (201)
Away
54.9% (455)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Lindholm
Duchene
P1
55.2%
49.0%
P2
56.3%
57.1%
P3
56.3%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:13 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |