Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 64.2%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 58.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Lindholm
Zibanejad
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
53.3% (807)
+1.5%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
47.6% (42)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
46.3% (147)
+5.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zibanejad
Home
56.6% (578)
49.8% (466)
Away
54.9% (455)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Lindholm
Zibanejad
P1
55.2%
52.9%
P2
56.3%
51.2%
P3
56.3%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 26, 2026 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:58 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 12:20 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 02:31 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:53 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |