Elias Lindholm vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.8% vs Backlund 50.5% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 80.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.9%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.7%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lindholm
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lindholm
Backlund
Last 7: Lindholm 3-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Backlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lindholm
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Lindholm
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (555)
51.3% (712)
+2.2%
Power Play
61.1% (113)
52.9% (51)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
49.2% (61)
47.5% (217)
+1.7%
On power play, Lindholm has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Lindholm is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (521).
Lindholm shoots right. Backlund is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (276).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Backlund
Home
55.5% (431)
49.0% (449)
Away
52.7% (298)
51.8% (531)
By Period
Lindholm
Backlund
P1
52.3%
46.9%
P2
54.8%
54.7%
P3
56.3%
49.4%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.3%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |