Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Geekie 44.9% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 71.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 76.7%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 64.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Lindholm
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lindholm
Geekie
Last 5: Lindholm 3-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Lindholm
Geekie
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
43.7% (584)
+13.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
47.1% (68)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
50.0% (8)
-0.9%
On power play, Lindholm has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Geekie
Home
55.2% (667)
45.3% (329)
Away
57.5% (669)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Lindholm
Geekie
P1
54.7%
41.2%
P2
55.5%
45.0%
P3
58.5%
46.2%
OT
64.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |