Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 90.4%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 69.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Lindholm
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Lindholm
Suzuki
Last 10: Lindholm 7-3 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Suzuki
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Suzuki
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
51.3% (945)
+3.5%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
50.7% (282)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
40.3% (67)
+11.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Suzuki is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Suzuki
Home
56.6% (578)
51.0% (637)
Away
54.9% (455)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Lindholm
Suzuki
P1
55.2%
53.1%
P2
56.3%
47.4%
P3
56.3%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 06:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 17:04 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:35 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:19 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 11:08 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |