Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Acciari 50.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 82.4%
Defensive zone
Acciari 90.0%
Neutral zone
Acciari 67.8%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Lindholm
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lindholm
Acciari
Last 8: Lindholm 3-5 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Acciari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
2
Lindholm
Acciari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
2
Lindholm
Acciari
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
52.7% (313)
+2.1%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
33.3% (18)
+29.0%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
49.7% (195)
+2.5%
On power play, Lindholm has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Acciari is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Acciari
Home
56.6% (578)
52.6% (291)
Away
54.9% (455)
48.9% (235)
By Period
Lindholm
Acciari
P1
55.2%
53.7%
P2
56.3%
51.1%
P3
56.3%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Acciari
44.0%▬
44.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |