Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 87.5%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 90.0%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 60.4%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Lindholm
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lindholm
Gaustad
Last 6: Lindholm 3-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Gaustad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Lindholm
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
58.2% (4,334)
-4.4%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
65.4% (188)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
54.8% (1,290)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Gaustad has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Gaustad
Home
54.2% (5,980)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Lindholm
Gaustad
P1
54.2%
58.2%
P2
54.5%
56.4%
P3
53.0%
58.3%
OT
53.6%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:57 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 17:34 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 09:47 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Dec 2, 2014 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |