Elias Lindholm vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +19.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.7% vs Buchnevich 35.5% (+19.8%)
H2H factor
Buchnevich leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 51.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 70.9%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 66.5%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 64.2%
64.2%
35.8%
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
2
Lindholm
Buchnevich
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Buchnevich
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
1
Lindholm
Buchnevich
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (8,338)
33.7% (819)
+20.0%
Power Play
59.2% (1,683)
44.7% (47)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (1,588)
21.9% (32)
+26.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Lindholm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (8,933).
Lindholm shoots right. Buchnevich is 36.0% vs right-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Buchnevich
Home
54.0% (5,833)
34.9% (459)
Away
53.5% (5,776)
32.8% (439)
By Period
Lindholm
Buchnevich
P1
53.9%
33.9%
P2
54.4%
33.9%
P3
52.9%
33.6%
OT
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
37.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Buchnevich
40.0%▬
41.0%
33.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:26 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 10:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:57 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |