Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Zacha 54.4% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Zacha leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Lindholm
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Lindholm
Zacha
Last 10: Lindholm 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Zacha
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
6
4
Lindholm
Zacha
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Lindholm
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.9% (787)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
63.2% (193)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
44.3% (88)
+4.8%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Lindholm is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Lindholm shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Zacha
Home
55.2% (667)
56.7% (538)
Away
57.5% (669)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Lindholm
Zacha
P1
54.7%
52.6%
P2
55.5%
54.8%
P3
58.5%
56.8%
OT
64.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:42 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 18:12 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 06:26 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |