Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.9%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (54% H2H, 24 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Hintz 53.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 62.5%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 66.3%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.1%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Lindholm
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
27
(59 meetings)
32
27
Lindholm
Hintz
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
13
11
Lindholm
Hintz
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
10
8
Lindholm
Hintz
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
9
8
Lindholm
Hintz
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
53.8% (3,722)
+0.0%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
55.4% (567)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
52.9% (221)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Lindholm is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,165).
Lindholm shoots right. Hintz is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,728).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hintz
Home
54.2% (5,980)
54.9% (2,317)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
52.9% (2,193)
By Period
Lindholm
Hintz
P1
54.2%
55.5%
P2
54.5%
53.9%
P3
53.0%
52.7%
OT
53.6%
49.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 17:55 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:29 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |