Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.0%). Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Carrick 54.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 89.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 62.5%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 55.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Lindholm
Carrick
Last 6: Lindholm 5-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Carrick
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Lindholm
Carrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
55.5% (470)
-0.7%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
66.7% (3)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
50.0% (58)
+2.2%
On power play, Carrick has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
56.6% (578)
58.6% (261)
Away
54.9% (455)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
55.2%
55.9%
P2
56.3%
53.5%
P3
56.3%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |