Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (92% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Carrick 52.2% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 20-8 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 95.2%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 54.8%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 68.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
8
(28 meetings)
20
8
Lindholm
Carrick
Last 10: Lindholm 8-2 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
12
1
Lindholm
Carrick
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
5
6
Lindholm
Carrick
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
1
Lindholm
Carrick
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
52.2% (2,544)
+1.6%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
61.3% (75)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
50.8% (435)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (843).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
54.2% (5,980)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
54.2%
51.8%
P2
54.5%
52.3%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
OT
53.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:56 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:53 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |