Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Couturier 53.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 60.7%
Defensive zone
Couturier 81.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 61.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Lindholm
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Lindholm
Couturier
Last 10: Lindholm 1-9 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
2
Lindholm
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
7
Lindholm
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
Lindholm
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
53.9% (792)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
62.9% (70)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
51.3% (234)
+0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Couturier is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Couturier
Home
56.6% (578)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.9% (455)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Lindholm
Couturier
P1
55.2%
56.0%
P2
56.3%
52.6%
P3
56.3%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
54.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:36 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 07:24 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |