Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lindholm 74.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lindholm
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lindholm
Kuraly
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
3
0
Lindholm
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
7
Lindholm
Kuraly
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Lindholm
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (1,124)
49.2% (901)
+8.5%
Power Play
52.9% (155)
68.2% (22)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (259)
49.8% (219)
-1.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Lindholm is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,140).
Lindholm shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Kuraly
Home
55.7% (760)
51.7% (603)
Away
55.8% (778)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Lindholm
Kuraly
P1
53.7%
50.9%
P2
58.3%
49.5%
P3
55.1%
49.1%
OT
59.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.7%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 23, 2023 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 11:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2022 | 2 | 14:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |