Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.4%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Aho 52.2% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 11-5 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 69.1%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 67.6%
Neutral zone
Aho 50.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Lindholm
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
11
(16 meetings)
5
11
Lindholm
Aho
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
2
7
Lindholm
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lindholm
Aho
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Lindholm
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
51.6% (819)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
58.4% (173)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
46.3% (67)
+3.3%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Aho is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Aho
Home
52.3% (771)
53.9% (568)
Away
53.5% (821)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Lindholm
Aho
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
55.3%
51.2%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
29.6%
28.6%
Final 5 min
55.2%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 15:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:56 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 7, 2022 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:27 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 00:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |