Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Pinto 51.1% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 50.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 85.6%
Neutral zone
Pinto 68.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Lindholm
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Lindholm
Pinto
Last 8: Lindholm 2-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
1
Lindholm
Pinto
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
5
Lindholm
Pinto
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
50.5% (556)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
68.0% (25)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
51.1% (94)
+1.1%
On power play, Pinto has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Pinto is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (184).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Pinto
Home
56.6% (578)
50.0% (310)
Away
54.9% (455)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Lindholm
Pinto
P1
55.2%
51.8%
P2
56.3%
49.8%
P3
56.3%
53.1%
OT
0.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 2 | 03:28 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:33 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |