Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Thompson 45.2% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 56.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lindholm
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
44.6% (661)
+10.2%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
48.4% (95)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
33.3% (33)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
56.6% (578)
45.7% (411)
Away
54.9% (455)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
55.2%
47.7%
P2
56.3%
45.7%
P3
56.3%
40.5%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 07:01 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:54 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |