Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.5%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 52.7% vs Hertl 52.3% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Lindholm
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Lindholm
Hertl
Last 10: Lindholm 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
7
Lindholm
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Lindholm
Hertl
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
3
Lindholm
Hertl
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,156)
51.6% (1,084)
+0.8%
Power Play
59.6% (198)
61.0% (246)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (238)
44.1% (136)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lindholm is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,221).
Lindholm shoots right. Hertl is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Hertl
Home
52.3% (771)
55.2% (696)
Away
53.5% (821)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Lindholm
Hertl
P1
50.7%
55.4%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
54.0%
48.9%
OT
29.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.9%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:21 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:12 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 14:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:21 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 1 | 08:06 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |