Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.9% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 53.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 24-16 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 57.0%
Defensive zone
Seguin 60.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 62.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Lindholm
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
24
(40 meetings)
16
24
Lindholm
Seguin
Last 10: Lindholm 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
11
Lindholm
Seguin
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
8
6
Lindholm
Seguin
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
4
7
Lindholm
Seguin
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (8,549)
53.7% (8,071)
+0.1%
Power Play
59.4% (1,745)
55.9% (810)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (1,619)
49.3% (762)
-1.0%
On power play, Lindholm has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,748).
Lindholm shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Seguin
Home
54.2% (5,980)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
53.6% (5,933)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Lindholm
Seguin
P1
54.2%
52.8%
P2
54.5%
53.3%
P3
53.0%
54.7%
OT
53.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
53.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:35 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 6, 2023 | 1 | 11:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OT | 00:20 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 07:35 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |