Elias Lindholm vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lindholm wins 58.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.3% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 62.9%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 56.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Lindholm
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lindholm
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
0
Lindholm
Karlsson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Lindholm
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (766)
58.5% (135)
-3.7%
Power Play
62.3% (175)
80.0% (5)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (92)
44.4% (18)
+7.8%
On power play, Karlsson has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Lindholm is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Lindholm shoots right. Karlsson is 71.1% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Karlsson
Home
56.6% (578)
63.7% (91)
Away
54.9% (455)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Lindholm
Karlsson
P1
55.2%
54.4%
P2
56.3%
66.7%
P3
56.3%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
64.0%▲
60.5%
55.9%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |