Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Johnston 50.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 73.1%
Defensive zone
Johnston 69.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 72.5%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Lindholm
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Lindholm
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
3
Lindholm
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
50.7% (552)
+6.6%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
61.5% (13)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
43.5% (69)
+5.6%
On even strength, Lindholm has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Johnston is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Johnston
Home
55.2% (667)
50.3% (342)
Away
57.5% (669)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Lindholm
Johnston
P1
54.7%
54.4%
P2
55.5%
47.2%
P3
58.5%
49.4%
OT
64.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
56.4%
Johnston
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |