Elias Pettersson vs Evgeni Malkin
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs Malkin 46.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 62.8%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.4%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Pettersson
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Pettersson
Malkin
Last 9: Pettersson 4-5 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Malkin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Malkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
3
Pettersson
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
45.5% (602)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
50.0% (30)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
100.0% (1)
-48.1%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Malkin
Home
48.1% (489)
47.5% (326)
Away
46.9% (475)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Pettersson
Malkin
P1
47.4%
49.3%
P2
48.3%
44.7%
P3
46.6%
42.3%
OT
55.6%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:35 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |