Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.9% vs 47.0%). Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Nazar 47.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nazar 58.5%
Defensive zone
Nazar 62.5%
Neutral zone
Nazar 62.8%
Result
Frank Nazar favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
Pettersson
Nazar
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Pettersson
Nazar
Last 6: Pettersson 5-1 Nazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
3
1
Pettersson
Nazar
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Nazar
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nazar
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
47.2% (574)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
51.0% (143)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
30.2% (43)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nazar shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Nazar is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nazar
Home
49.1% (607)
45.0% (329)
Away
44.7% (595)
48.5% (431)
By Period
Pettersson
Nazar
P1
45.5%
47.8%
P2
48.0%
43.4%
P3
47.1%
48.4%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Nazar
60.0%▲
51.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 09:59 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Frank Nazar |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:01 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |