Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Evans 55.0% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 89.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 59.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 66.8%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Pettersson
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Pettersson
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Pettersson
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
55.6% (522)
-9.7%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
72.7% (11)
-17.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
55.2% (210)
-19.5%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Evans
Home
49.1% (607)
54.7% (402)
Away
44.7% (595)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Pettersson
Evans
P1
45.5%
57.9%
P2
48.0%
55.2%
P3
47.1%
53.6%
OT
47.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 05:55 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |