Elias Pettersson vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 53.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 56.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 53.9%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
47.3% (207)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
100.0% (3)
-44.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
33.3% (3)
+2.4%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.1% (607)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.7% (595)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Pettersson
Kotkaniemi
P1
45.5%
51.3%
P2
48.0%
46.1%
P3
47.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 08:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |