Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 44.8% vs Veleno 43.5% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Veleno 51.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 50.6%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Pettersson
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pettersson
Veleno
Last 6: Pettersson 3-3 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pettersson
Veleno
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Pettersson
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Veleno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (912)
42.9% (617)
+1.2%
Power Play
61.5% (39)
37.5% (16)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (46)
33.3% (18)
+1.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Pettersson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Pettersson shoots left. Veleno is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Veleno
Home
45.0% (489)
40.7% (327)
Away
43.7% (508)
44.4% (324)
By Period
Pettersson
Veleno
P1
46.0%
43.2%
P2
45.7%
42.0%
P3
42.2%
42.4%
OT
23.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
44.3%
Veleno
50.0%▬
50.5%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:46 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:26 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |