Elias Pettersson vs Justin Sourdif
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Sourdif 45.6% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sourdif 52.9%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 73.0%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 60.8%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 69.0%
31.0%
69.0%
Pettersson
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Sourdif
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Pettersson
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
3
Pettersson
Sourdif
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
44.3% (585)
+1.6%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
50.0% (24)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
61.5% (13)
-25.8%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Sourdif
Home
49.1% (607)
43.6% (321)
Away
44.7% (595)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Pettersson
Sourdif
P1
45.5%
41.9%
P2
48.0%
44.3%
P3
47.1%
47.9%
OT
47.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |