Elias Pettersson vs Justin Sourdif
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sourdif on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Sourdif shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Sourdif 45.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.2%
Defensive zone
Sourdif 74.3%
Neutral zone
Sourdif 53.9%
Result
Justin Sourdif favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
Pettersson
Sourdif
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pettersson
Sourdif
Last 5: Pettersson 1-4 Sourdif
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
0
1
Pettersson
Sourdif
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sourdif
1
3
Pettersson
Sourdif
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Sourdif
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
44.3% (585)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
50.0% (24)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
61.5% (13)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Sourdif has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sourdif shoots right. Pettersson is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,768).
Pettersson shoots left. Sourdif is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (441).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Sourdif
Home
46.8% (2,757)
43.6% (321)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
46.2% (301)
By Period
Pettersson
Sourdif
P1
44.7%
41.9%
P2
46.1%
44.3%
P3
47.4%
47.9%
OT
39.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Sourdif
36.0%▼
41.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 03:49 | Defensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Justin Sourdif |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |