Elias Pettersson vs Kevin Hayes

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.2% vs Hayes 42.7% (+11.1%)
Offensive zone Pettersson 51.6%
Defensive zone Pettersson 60.3%
Neutral zone Hayes 55.7%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Pettersson Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
31.9% (91)
+14.0%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
64.3% (14)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
0.0% (1)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Pettersson has a +35.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Hayes
Home
49.1% (607)
30.6% (49)
Away
44.7% (595)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Pettersson
Hayes
P1
45.5%
22.9%
P2
48.0%
40.0%
P3
47.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
43.6%
30.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%
52.5%
46.9%
Hayes
30.0%
42.5%
35.8%