Elias Pettersson vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.2% vs Stenlund 53.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 64.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 59.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Pettersson
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson
Stenlund
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
6
Pettersson
Stenlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (630)
55.0% (500)
-11.2%
Power Play
56.3% (215)
50.0% (40)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (103)
50.6% (243)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Pettersson is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Pettersson shoots left. Stenlund is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (511).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Stenlund
Home
48.3% (453)
55.5% (346)
Away
43.4% (495)
51.7% (437)
By Period
Pettersson
Stenlund
P1
44.7%
54.4%
P2
46.0%
51.7%
P3
46.4%
54.8%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.8%
Stenlund
48.0%▼
53.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:52 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:10 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |