Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Pettersson leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 71.2%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 61.1%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 56.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Pettersson
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Pettersson
Carlsson
Last 10: Pettersson 6-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
5
3
Pettersson
Carlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Carlsson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Pettersson
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
45.0% (695)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
46.4% (84)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
32.9% (85)
+2.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Carlsson
Home
49.1% (607)
42.5% (435)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Pettersson
Carlsson
P1
45.5%
45.3%
P2
48.0%
38.7%
P3
47.1%
48.5%
OT
47.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.6%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 18:27 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 09:49 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:26 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |