Elias Pettersson vs Mason McTavish

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mason McTavish holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.2% vs McTavish 49.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 57.7%
Defensive zone Pettersson 61.1%
Neutral zone Pettersson 55.8%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Pettersson McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 5 (7 meetings)
2
5
Pettersson McTavish
Last 7: Pettersson 2-5 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
1
Pettersson McTavish
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
0
Pettersson McTavish
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
4
Pettersson McTavish
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
47.6% (618)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
58.3% (103)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
33.3% (6)
+2.4%
On power play, McTavish has a +3.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Pettersson
McTavish
Home
49.1% (607)
52.2% (391)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Pettersson
McTavish
P1
45.5%
50.2%
P2
48.0%
47.7%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
OT
47.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
45.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%
52.5%
46.9%
McTavish
48.0%
45.5%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 26, 2025 3 19:53 Neutral Mason McTavish
Nov 26, 2025 3 18:08 Neutral Mason McTavish
Nov 26, 2025 3 15:58 Neutral Mason McTavish
Nov 26, 2025 2 15:28 Offensive Mason McTavish
Nov 26, 2025 2 04:29 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Nov 26, 2025 2 01:12 Neutral Mason McTavish
Nov 26, 2025 1 01:10 Defensive Elias Pettersson